You'll see 2.70 rbob has fallen hard not a good sign. Market has been selling off
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Originally posted by Strychnine View PostThis is not to say that every well is unconventional, but it gives an idea of break-even numbers (last fall).
But remember that the margin also has to pay for exploratory drilling and other things. Not all wells make money.
Other sources say this:
Not US, but some visibility:
http://www.petroleum-economist.com/A...rice-fall.html
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WTI crude is at $84.72 this morning. Hopefully it won't got much lower. That is pretty close to a fair price.
Wholesale Gasoline commodities are at $2.24. THAT directly affects the price at the pump. You'll see that price (with added expense and profit margin) within a couple more weeks. Prices in Denton finally started diving below $3 here. WOOHOO!
If you look at the commodities indexes, you'll see that they have been dropping since July. Just my layman opinion here but I'm thinking the Fed has been cutting back on all that free money which investors have been putting into commodities. It has been mostly speculative driven for a long time now..
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Originally posted by Trip McNeely View PostOh boohoo A successful company will make a profit. Boohoo Capitalism.
And the free markets are dictating that prices are too high as the supply outweighs the demand.
So any of this "warnings that price must remain higher to keep our wells in operation" should hang right over the head of your O&G buddies in risk analysis or forecasting.
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Originally posted by 32vfromhell View PostAnd the free markets are dictating that prices are too high as the supply outweighs the demand.
So any of this "warnings that price must remain higher to keep our wells in operation" should hang right over the head of your O&G buddies in risk analysis or forecasting.
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Originally posted by Roscoe View PostGas prices are the smallest part of profits for the O&G companies.
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Originally posted by Trip McNeely View PostExactly. No one ever mentions how much the Govmt shaves off and their overall involvement in regulating which in turn costs even more off the bottom line. Refinement into the many different things oil and gas creates is probably the biggest factor.
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Originally posted by Trip McNeely View PostYou have no idea what goes into forecasting how to develop an oil and gas well, nor do you have any idea the amount of money and risk that goes into it. So don't act like you do.
"It is in truth not for glory, nor riches, nor honours that we are fighting, but for freedom - for that alone, which no honest man gives up but with life itself."
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