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Who can make me a PERFECT NCAA bracket???

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  • Who can make me a PERFECT NCAA bracket???

    i'll split the monies with you!

    http://money.cnn.com/2014/01/21/news...-ncaa-bracket/

    Warren Buffett might be the epitome of the cautious investor, but he's betting $1 billion on this year's NCAA tournament.

    Quicken Loans is offering a $1 billion prize to the basketball fan who submits the perfect NCAA bracket for this year's tournament. And the prize, if there is one awarded, will be paid out by Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, (BRKA, Fortune 500)

    The payment would be doled out over 40 years in annual payments of $25 million, or a lump-sum payment of $500 million. If there is more than one perfect bracket submitted, the winning entries will split the money.

    Buffett would not disclose the premium that Quicken Loans CEO Dan Gilbert agreed to pay to Berkshire to cover the potential payout.

    "Dan says it is too much and I say it's too little," he told CNN's Poppy Harlow.

    He added that if there is a contestant who has a chance for the prize when the final game is held on April 7 in Arlington, Texas, he plans on attending the game.

    "I will invite him or her to be my guest at the final game and be there with a check in my pocket, but I will not be cheering for him or her to win," he said, jokingly. "I may even give them a little investment advice."

    Entry in the pool is free. Contestants can start signing up to participate on March 3, though they won't be able to make their picks until the brackets are set on March 16. The deadline for entry is Wednesday, March 19.



    There are more than 9 quintillion possible ways to fill out the 64-team bracket, according to the math and science site Orgtheory.net. That's 9 million-trillion, or 9 followed by 18 zeros. It's much more of a long shot than the one-in-259 million odds of winning the grand prize in MegaMillions or the one-in-175 million odds of winning Powerball's top prize.

    But Buffett said that because winners in the tournament are not random, there's no real accurate way to calculate the actual odds of the perfect bracket.

    "There is no perfect math...There are no true odds, no one really knows," he said.

    Buffett said he and one of the executives from Berkshire's insurance unit made independent calculations of the odds.

    "[They] were in the same ballpark, but it's a big ball park," he said.

    John Diver, director of product development for ESPN Fantasy, said in the 13 years that ESPN has offered NCAA bracket contests, no one has ever come close to a perfect bracket, even though there have been about 30 million entries. In fact, only once in the last seven years has anyone gotten the first round perfect.

    "I don't want to say it's impossible, but it's basically impossible," he said.


    Quicken is also paying out $100,000 prizes to each of the 20 contestants who do the best in the brackets. And it is donating $1 million to inner-city Detroit and Cleveland non-profit organizations that are dedicated to improving the education of young residents. Buffett said he came up with the idea while getting a tour of Detroit from Gilbert in November and Gilbert quickly signed on to the idea.

    Buffett backed a similar $1 billion prize from PepsiCo (PEP, Fortune 500) 11 years ago that involved numbers printed in the bottle caps of Pepsi products, and a monkey drawing the final numbers to see if anyone would collect the $1 billion prize. But, as is likely with this offer, no one ended up collecting that prize. To top of page
    Can't beat them, Join their NEW message board !!

  • #2
    Wasn't there someone who did this last year? Ended up making a perfect bracket, I mean.

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Ratt View Post
      Wasn't there someone who did this last year? Ended up making a perfect bracket, I mean.
      Doubtful.
      Originally posted by Broncojohnny
      HOORAY ME and FUCK YOU!

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      • #4

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        • #5
          Originally posted by Nash B. View Post
          Originally posted by Ratt View Post
          Wasn't there someone who did this last year? Ended up making a perfect bracket, I mean.
          Doubtful.

          This kid did two rounds perfect a few years ago. I don't see anyone doing better than that.

          The odds of doing what he did were 1:35,360,000,000
          The odds of perfection all the way through: 1:9,223,372,036,854,775,808


          ESPN's Tournament Challenge is currently hosting 4.78 million -- yes, million -- 2010 NCAA tournament bracket entries. After two rounds, not a single one of them is perfect.


          Autistic teen picks perfect bracket

          March, 23, 2010
          3/23/10
          5:03
          PM ET
          By Eamonn Brennan


          ESPN's Tournament Challenge is currently hosting 4.78 million -- yes, million -- 2010 NCAA tournament bracket entries. After two rounds, not a single one of them is perfect. But the feat has, miraculously enough, been accomplished.

          Who did it? His name is Alex Herrman, and he's a 17-year-old student at Glenbrook South High School in Glenview, Ill., one of Chicago's north suburbs. Herrmann, who is autistic, picked all the wild upsets you and I didn't see happening. UNI over Kansas. Ohio over Georgetown. Cornell over Wisconsin. Your bracket may have survived. Your bracket might be good. Herrmann's bracket is 100 percent perfect.
          "It's amazing," Hermann said. "I'm good at math. I'm kind of good at math and at stats I see on TV during the game."

          Alex entered the bracket on CBSsports.com's bracket challenge. CBS did not return several phone calls to confirm entries into its game. His 24-year-old brother Andrew, who helped him enter his picks into CBS' bracket manager, also entered the contest -- and ranks behind 500,000 other people.

          “My bracket is totally shot,” his 24-year-old brother Andrew said. “So is everyone else I know.”


          Us too, Andrew. Us too.

          In case you needed the visual proof, NBC Chicago has the PDF right here. Another fun fact: According to Book Of Odds, the chances of picking the first two rounds of this NCAA tournament are one in 13,460,000, which means you have a better chance of winning the lottery twice over.

          Two rounds is incredibly impressive, obviously, but the next step is seeing if Alex's picks can go the distance. Can he complete the holy grail? Can he seal the perfect bracket? Herrmann's Final Four is a bit dubious -- he has Tennessee coming out of the Midwest and Purdue overcoming the Robbie Hummel injury to make it out of the South -- not to mention the fact that the odds of attaining a perfect bracket are 1 in 35,360,000,000. (Or, according to Book Of Odds, "almost 18 times worse than your odds of being killed by a waterspout in a year [1 in 1,988,000,000]." So, um, yeah.) But doubting Alex now means doubting the one person who managed to get the entire bracket correct. In other words, I'm not going to do it.

          (According to USA today: The 1 in 9.2 quintillion number is straight mathematics. It figures out how many possible ways the 63 game results on your bracket could be filled out. (Two to the sixty-third power.)

          But it doesn't account for standard basketball logic, like No. 1 seeds always advancing in the first round or tournament champions usually having a top-four seed or Duke's dual advantage of having a legend like Coach K and never getting called for a blocking foul. If you know something about the NCAA tournament, the odds of a perfect bracket are more like 1 in 128 billion.
          )

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