Originally posted by John -- '02 HAWK
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Originally posted by John -- '02 HAWK
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Originally posted by John -- '02 HAWK
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Originally posted by John -- '02 HAWK
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Originally posted by John -- '02 HAWK
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That means a robbery does not occur when people are away. Burglaries do.
Statistics are a measure of the occurrence of events, and can be inferred to describe the probability of events repeating in a prior observed manner or pattern. Statistics say that a burglary is more likely to occur during the day, but numbers do not prohibit a burglary from happening at any time. This is because burglary is a crime of opportunity.
Let me expand on the statistics. Saying some event has a 50% chance of happening means you have no idea if it will happen or not. It is equally as likely to occur as not occur. According to FBI statistics, in 2011, 52.8% of all residential burglaries occurred during daytime. 27.2% of all residential burglaries occurred during nighttime, and the remaining % are unknown. If we make an assumption that the unknowns split about like the known burglaries - we might interpolate that 63% of residential burglaries occur during the daytime. That's damn near a 4/10 split on night time burglaries.
Now, there's a correlation between weather and crime. Crime increases as temperature increases, to a point. It was 63 degrees and rainy. 63 isn't exactly cold, even in the rain. And rain isn't exactly a deterrent to burglars. This burglar, who especially liked rainy days, said:
When it rains, people tend to be in a hurry and they really get careless. They forget to lock their door or lock their windows.
I think the statistics say that you do not know that Martin wasn't prowling.
Originally posted by John -- '02 HAWK
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