Election 2012

[CJ]

Well, I don't think we have a thread for the election results specifically, but the news over the last two days is Romney has taken the electoral lead in the latest polls.

http://www1.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

That's a great sign.

[talisman]

I've actually grown to like Romney, and won't be voting for him just to get Obama out. Feels good to have that confidence in someone who is running. The last time I was happy about voting for someone was in the 90's.

[noshine4mine]

I am in that boat too. I was anti-romney but get Obama out for a long time. He's growing on me.

I still think he is just a place holder, we need to continue to elect conservatives into the congress and senate, then when the right candidate comes along it will be a natural transition to a 3rd party president.

I smile so much when I see the chart CJ posted. I am partially skeptical that it is bogus...but I am praying it is legit.

[The King]

I've actually grown to like Romney, and won't be voting for him just to get Obama out. Feels good to have that confidence in someone who is running. The last time I was happy about voting for someone was in the 90's.

80's here (Reagan) and 90's (Clinton).

[Shaggin Wagon]

I'd vote for Kermit the frog if he was running against Obama.

[CJ]

I am in that boat too. I was anti-romney but get Obama out for a long time. He's growing on me.

I still think he is just a place holder, we need to continue to elect conservatives into the congress and senate, then when the right candidate comes along it will be a natural transition to a 3rd party president.

I smile so much when I see the chart CJ posted. I am partially skeptical that it is bogus...but I am praying it is legit.

The RCP polls are quite significant because it's an average of all reputable polls out there. It's not their own. Click a state and it will show you around 5-10 polls that it's composed of. So it's pretty reliable. Take a look at Florida, that's Romney country for sure. Ohio is Obama right now, that has to change.

[Vertnut]

The reality is that the Obama-controlled media didn't WANT anyone to know the real Romney, and now that we have seen him in the debates, he's not near the white devil that Barry and the press made him out to be. Is he perfect? Nope. No candidate is. But he's fifty times better than what we have.

[bcoop]

While I am not yet convinced Romney will win this thing, I had to laugh when I saw this. Look at their little graphs on the right side of the screen. Obama up by 50 electoral votes, and a 72.x% chance of winning.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/19/oct-18-obama-gains-in-forecast-on-resiliency-in-swing-state-polls/

Just goes to show you can throw whateverthefuckshit you want out there, and claim you have statistical data to back it up and claim it as fact. As my friend Marty would say, you can put your boots in the oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

[CJ]

While I am not yet convinced Romney will win this thing, I had to laugh when I saw this. Look at their little graphs on the right side of the screen. Obama up by 50 electoral votes, and a 72.x% chance of winning.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/19/oct-18-obama-gains-in-forecast-on-resiliency-in-swing-state-polls/

Just goes to show you can throw whateverthefuckshit you want out there, and claim you have statistical data to back it up and claim it as fact. As my friend Marty would say, you can put your boots in the oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

again, RCP polls we're discussing are an average of hundreds of different polls. If they are legitimate, they are included. So it isn't just one poll we're talking about, it's nearly all of them.

[bcoop]

again, RCP polls we're discussing are an average of hundreds of different polls. If they are legitimate, they are included. So it isn't just one poll we're talking about, it's nearly all of them.

I hear you, I'm just saying, some of the shit out there is absurd. Like the link I posted.

[CJ]

I hear you, I'm just saying, some of the shit out there is absurd. Like the link I posted.

Well, I'm familiar with that polling "institute" it's founded by a guy that use to be a baseball statistician. He's been doing it for 4 years, and the election that he predicted correctly was 2008. That wasn't very difficult of an election. A lot of the polls you see that show Obama WAY out in the lead are using 2008 turnout numbers. In other words they're assuming record breaking democrat turnouts, like +14 in some states, which is obviously inaccurate. Most of those polls are goign to be incredibly wrong. This was the standard for polling up until the last few weeks, when they switched to the corrected numbers, now Romney takes the lead.

[jw33]

The polls are always complete bullshit, unless your guy is in the lead.

[dville_gt]

In all honesty in this election it would prob be better for Romney to be way behind in polls to keep dem turnout low.