DRUDGEREPORT.COM Caucus voting open

[Vertnut]

I'm hoping that there is some residual excitement remaining amongst those college kids, though it is a new crop this go round. Sure hope a large number realize how badly they fucked it up the first time around and try to make amends on this one...

Most will just stay home. RP has a good segment of the youth, but nothing like Barry did, mainly because liberalism is rampant on college campuses.

[mikec]

Most will just stay home. RP has a good segment of the youth, but nothing like Barry did, mainly because liberalism is rampant on college campuses.

Very valid sir!


Mildly interested in the eight point lead over Romney that he is currently showing in that poll. Wonder how skewed those numbers are?

In their, presumably based on IPs, initial analysis of just Iowan voters it's at 12%. Landslide, anyone?

[dblack1]

Very valid sir!


Mildly interested in the eight point lead over Romney that he is currently showing in that poll. Wonder how skewed those numbers are?

In their, presumably based on IPs, initial analysis of just Iowan voters it's at 12%. Landslide, anyone?

MSN has romney at 51%. Talk about rigged.

I believe deep down we have a shot at seeing three evenly spread front runners.

I don't know a single person who love romney, or has them as their pick at the moment. I find it hard to believe he is already the front runner.

I just hope they can gain control of the senate.

[teal93derp]

I think RP wins tonight, unless that 8th grader with $26 shows up! http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2011/...achine-for-26/

[majorownage]

DRUDGE READERS FROM IOWA VOTE:

PAUL 1,337 33.61%
SANTORUM 847 21.29%
ROMNEY 805 20.24%
GINGRICH 418 10.18%
PERRY 306 7.45%


Lets see how rigged they make this caucus.

[46Tbird]

Oh, ye of little faith...

I think his presidency has been such a debacle, that most of the candidates running can pull it off.

C'mon. You know that Obama can blame anything on Bush and get a free pass.

Bush-bashing has been media dogma since 2000 and these young voters have never paid attention to politics when Bush WASN'T at fault for whatever is wrong with this country.

If Obama is even moderately successful at deflecting blame to Bush, Congress, and wall street fat cats, he is home free.

[CJ]

DRUDGE READERS FROM IOWA VOTE:

PAUL 1,337 33.61%
SANTORUM 847 21.29%
ROMNEY 805 20.24%
GINGRICH 418 10.18%
PERRY 306 7.45%


Lets see how rigged they make this caucus.

I would assume Ron Paul's vote is going to be pretty inflated given the age group of his base. I'd predict a 30% inflation of his polling. I'd say he should do around 20-23%

[Vertnut]

C'mon. You know that Obama can blame anything on Bush and get a free pass.

Bush-bashing has been media dogma since 2000 and these young voters have never paid attention to politics when Bush WASN'T at fault for whatever is wrong with this country.

If Obama is even moderately successful at deflecting blame to Bush, Congress, and wall street fat cats, he is home free.

3 years down...it won't work anymore. He owns this economy and his own failed policies.

[mikec]

I would assume Ron Paul's vote is going to be pretty inflated given the age group of his base. I'd predict a 30% inflation of his polling. I'd say he should do around 20-23%

Please put down that glass of kool aid and provide some semblance of validation for that wild ass-u-m(e)ption?

[CJ]

Please put down that glass of kool aid and provide some semblance of validation for that wild ass-u-m(e)ption?

You don't read shit I type, do you? You even participated in the discussion where I made that statement. Just wait for the polling numbers, we'll see who's right.

[majorownage]

^(chuckled)

Paul is rigged to lose by ~2%, anything wider won't be believable.

Thats my prediction. We'll see.

[mikec]

You don't read shit I type, do you? You even participated in the discussion where I made that statement. Just wait for the polling numbers, we'll see who's right.

I do read what you type CJ. And so far I have seen nothing but your opinion. Just curious as to where you draw your numbers as thus far you have provided not a damned thing other than conjecture.

Damn.

[mikec]

And currently, in the drudge/iowa only numbers, he has a 13 point lead. Based on that (alone) you are shit out of luck on being the Nostradamus of 2012...

[Vertnut]

And currently, in the drudge/iowa only numbers, he has a 13 point lead. Based on that (alone) you are shit out of luck on being the Nostradamus of 2012...

I'm guessing what CJ meant, was that RP won't win Iowa by 13 points in the actual vote.

[CJ]

I do read what you type CJ. And so far I have seen nothing but your opinion. Just curious as to where you draw your numbers as thus far you have provided not a damned thing other than conjecture.

Damn.

You don't. I said it would be inflated by that much because he has a high percentage of the youth vote. And they do not turn out traditionally. Read my previous post - I use the exact same figure I posted previously. And if there is something you really need to learn Mike, it's not to overreact, both me and you know that. So settle down, and realize I already explained this to you, you just didn't read it. Just like your smart ass remark regarding polling previously. Let's see how the actual numbers turn out. I'm factoring in historical trends on youth turnout and I trust it. If I'm wrong then I'm wrong, you can tout it and hold it over my head all you like - call me Nostradamus or whatever the hell you want.

My point is Ron Paul's vote is HIGHLY weighted towards youth. Youth is statistically the hardest to get turnout from. It is the risk you take vesting in it. So, the Paul campaign should expect their polling is roughly 20-30% over inflated.

That's the post you didn't read.